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Tuesday, September 2, 2008

EDITORIAL - Five years is a long time to hold your breath



by Karen Emilson

It is late August and I am sitting on the deck looking out over the pasture. It is early morning and the sun has just come up over the trees. I’m listening to the cows tramping their way through the bush into the clearing just on the other side of our back yard fence. Hopefully it doesn't rain again today.

I can’t help but wonder the cows near, pulling up the grass, swishing their tails and bawling a bit, how the cattle business got to where it has these past five years.As feed grain prices, the dollar and cattle prices became unpredictable last year, weather forecasts became frighteningly accurate this summer. Every storm predicted for the Dauphin/Interlake region dropped rain as the weatherman said it would - unprecedented in the 23 years I’ve lived here. Either their forecasting has become a whole lot better or our luck is a whole lot worse. Maybe it’s a bit of both.

They say that it is always darkest before the dawn; that things always become their absolute worst before they start to get better. For cattle producers who have weathered the past five years, waiting out the dark times, watching their equity and retirement funds erode, in hopes of some light this fall - to be unable to put up hay because of either drought or flood is an unbearable disappointment.

Interlake cattlemen went into BSE facing the worst drought conditions in recent memory; now many of them will not get enough feed because fields are too wet or completely drowned out. Two hits within five years of escalating costs and below break-even prices means they simply cannot afford to buy hay this fall. Not only is this an economic issue, but a herd health concern as well.

Traditionally when faced with a hay shortage, producers sell cows and hold back heifer calves to maximize their feed situation. One bright spot is that cows are bringing the best price they have since BSE; and predictions are that calf prices will be better this fall than last. However, I ran a spreadsheet based on the projected figures and anyone who is short half their hay, whether they choose to buy feed, sell cows, or sell cows and buy hay, will likely be faced with a cash flow problem in 2010 - assuming they have debt to service and want to stay in the business.

Most cattle producers who have filed a CAIS return know that the program may work for others, but does not work for our industry. The new Growing Forward program replacing it - Agri-Stability - is ineptly named. There are so many compounding problems with this program that, suffice it to say, it provides no income stability whatsoever.

Someone said to me recently that as cattle producers we have to stop going to the government with our hands out. For the record, I’d like to say that prior to BSE disrupting our industry the way it did, we never asked the government for anything.

And then I started thinking about that statement. What exactly is it when an employee goes into the boss’ office to ask for a raise? When the government ups the minimum wage or a company increases its prices; or a union demands better benefits for employees. Are these people offering to put in longer hours or do a better job tomorrow than yesterday in exchange for that cash reward?

No. They request higher pay to feel valued for their efforts, remain viable, and stay in line with the cost of living. Pay increases, benefits, pension plans and paid holiday time are expected in the working world.

Imagine if they were asked to work for the same salary as 20 years ago; if every error they made or loss the company incurred had a dollar value attached to it that was subtracted from their paycheque.

What would happen if after five years of inflation and a pay decrease, if every employee across this country went in to ask for a raise and were told to “tighten their belts at home?”

Pride sends an employee into the office to ask for a raise. Ironically, it’s also pride that keeps the Canadian cattleman from believing he deserves one.

The cattle industry is a vital stimulant to the rural economy and necessary part of this country’s infrastructure. In a sense, ranchers are working for all Canadians. Unfortunately, the service we provide is not fully understood and therefore under-valued by most of society.

A recent article in the Winnipeg Free Press Business section illustrates that point. Even though Canadians spend less than 10% of their annual income on food, when prices go up, the uninformed blame farmers. With fewer and fewer urbanites having rural roots, it is reasonable to expect the information gap will widen in the coming years.

Not all support from government needs to come in the form of direct payments to producers. Funding the Environmental Stewardship, Verified Beef and Canadian Agriculture Skills Service programs are just a few creative examples of how a government that values agriculture can assist farmers. A public awareness advertising campaign, funded by government, that focuses on the vital role of agriculture in this country would also help.

Not long ago cattlemen could weather fluctuating markets and isolated natural disasters. Hopefully that day will return soon. But seeing how the world is evolving, our government needs to prepare itself in the event that, like other countries, we can no longer provide inexpensive food and be offered a reasonable standard of living for doing so. This generation will continue to subsidize Canada’s cheap food policy as long as they are able - but I doubt that the next generation of farmers can, or will.

Cattle producers in general are, or were, against subsidization of any kind. I’m not. I was raised in the city and don’t have the same stoic resolve. Twenty two years ago we lived in Winnipeg and I did clerical/word processing work in a government office for a salary around $20,000 a year. Basically I moved paper from an inbox to an outbox. They paid me as if I’d earned it. And I thought I had. Until we moved here and was humbled by how hard cattle producers work for every dollar they earn.

Governments need an agriculture budget that provides producers with business risk management programs—including income stabilization and disaster relief—that can be relied upon. When unable to earn a living from the marketplace, food producers shouldn’t have to mortgage their retirements while the middlemen between us and the consumer continue to make a profit.

I don’t call disaster relief a handout. It’s an investment in this country’s infrastructure and civilized reparation to people who provide a valuable service to society.

- Karen writes from the family ranch at Vogar, along the shore of Lake Manitoba.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Sorry Karen, but I disagree with your comparison to the average wage earner. We are business people and family enterprises. We invest in what we know, and manage that investment and its inherit risk to the best of our abilities. Its great that governments offer us some programs, but that generosity isn`t offered to most other businesses, especially small and medium business enterprises. They have to do it all on their own, often facing the fluctating costs of inputs, currency risk, and unpredictable employees. We may feed the country, but small and medium businesses employee the majority of Canadians. Like them, we go into business for the opportunity to make a good return on our investment, to be our own boss and for the lifestyle choice we want. Wage earners give up a lot of freedom for that paycheque. They still might face a lay-off or a salary rollback, which happens often during these difficult economic times. The opportunity for upward movement is limited and even when they do get that valued promotion, they still seem to have trouble making that paycheque stretch. And still, too often you hear them talk about how much they hate their job. Farmers like to complain about everything, but I never hear them say they hate their farm.

Karen said...

Hi Anonymous, thanks so much for visiting the blog and offering your thoughts.

I understand what you are saying. I used to own a small printing/newspaper business so I know all the challenges that business people face. The difference I was trying to illustrate is that when faced with escalating costs, small businesses do have the option of putting up their prices - and they do. Employees receive regular pay increases that reflect the cost of living and have the option of finding a higher paying job elsewhere. Hard work, innovation and good management is most often rewarded in the "working world" whereas on the ranch, especially during these past five years, it is not.

Cow-calf producers don't have the same option of asking more for their product. When costs increase we have no one to pass those costs onto. Given the level of expertise and investment we have in our farms, we are not being adequately rewarded for our efforts. If it wasn't for off-farm work subsidizing the farm, many wouldn't be able to pay their household bills. Much of that off farm work is not by choice - it's a necessity. Of course like you say, many of us are here because we love the lifestyle. However that starts to wear pretty thin when you can't earn enough to pay the bills, even with an off farm income.

I can't think of one person I know who has experienced a wage rollback for doing the same job . . .

You're right wage earners do give up a lot of freedom, but so do we, our freedoms are just different. They HAVE to go in five days a week while we do not. They have holidays and weekends off, while we do not. They have a boss breathing down their neck while we do not. They can take two weeks holidays away from their job and when they return everything is functioning as it was when they left, whereas with us, we do not. Sometimes people even fill in and do their work while they are away, a concept we can only dream about.

This morning Mark left to go baling straw 100 miles south of here. Thank goodness I was home. The cows got out and were in the hay yard. The neighbour came and helped me chase them back in to the pasture. If I hadn't been home, that day away would have cost us thousands of dollars . . .

You imply that you are a farmer but I doubt that you raise cattle. I don't know one cattle producer who got into the business of ranching, particularly cow-calf, to earn a good return on his investment. That's not something we even consider when we take over dad's farm. But you are right, we do it for the lifestyle and because many of us love solitude and the cows.

Right now it is raining here again. Hopes of getting up enough hay to feed the cows this winter are dwindling. There is no bigger ranch related stress we can experience than this. It's about more than economics. It's about ranch managment and getting the job done.

You're right. Mark and I don't hate our farm. But since 2003, I've watched a transformation as many who never did, now do.

Thanks again for the comments. Feel free to visit anytime.